What betting markets got right and wrong about Trump’s victory
In general, markets gave shorter odds to Donald Trump, who won comfortably, than would have been implied by the neck-and-neck polls or political models, like the one published by The Economist. On Polymarket Mr Trump’s chances of victory never dipped far below 50%,
Prediction markets like Kalshi beat pollsters in forecasting the 2024 US election. Mansour now says financial marketplaces ...
Election betting is now legal in the U.S. Do Kalshi betting odds predict a Harris or a Trump win? What to know as Ohioans ...
Investors are rushing to throw millions at a hot startup called Kalshi as loans or even as unusual we’ll-figure-it-out later ...
The popularity of prediction markets (for gambling on politics) is a new phenomenon in the United States, and who pays out ...
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Nearly $5 billion in bets have been placed on the outcome of the presidential election across Polymarket and Kalshi.
We’re letting the market speak instead of pundits, pollsters, people, political figures, people with biases or conflicts of interest, people that had incentives or not,” Kalshi CEO Tarek ...
But it looked a lot different at online prediction markets where people bet real money on the outcome. Markets such as Kalshi and Polymarket showed a consistent lead for Donald Trump. And they were ...
The app has risen to the No. 1 spot in the Apple App Store “Finance” category, displacing longtime incumbent Cash App.
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ToplineFormer President Donald Trump has continued to surge on betting sites into early Wednesday morning, with bettors ...
Kalshi says that it has seen surging USDC adoption since opening deposits this week—and as prediction markets heat up, more ...
Prediction markets thrived, Elon got his wish, Facebook sat out, podcasts dominated and Silicon Valley mattered. The post ...
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